History of UFC Favorites and Underdogs

[Rich Davie]

This is a history of wins by favorites and underdogs in all UFC events since UFC 56. The sum of favorites + underdogs may not equal total fights because of draws and even odds.

Date	Favorites (68%)	Underdogs (32%)	Total (100%)	Event Name
02/15/2012	7	2	9	UFC on FUEL TV 1
02/04/2012	9	1	10	UFC 143: Diaz vs. Condit
01/28/2012	6	4	10	UFC on Fox 2
01/20/2012	8	1	10	UFC on FX 1 - Guillard vs. Miller
01/14/2012	8	2	10	UFC 142 - Aldo vs. Mendes
12/30/2011	7	3	10	UFC 141: Lesnar vs. Overeem
12/10/2011	7	5	12	UFC 140: Jones vs. Machida
12/03/2011	6	3	10	UFC - TUF 14 Finale
11/19/2011	7	5	12	UFC 139: Shogun vs. Henderson
11/12/2011	6	4	10	UFC on Fox 1
11/05/2011	8	2	10	UFC 138: Leben vs. Munoz
10/29/2011	6	4	11	UFC 137: Penn vs. Diaz
10/08/2011	8	3	11	UFC 136: Edgar vs. Maynard 3
10/01/2011	6	4	10	UFC on Versus 6
09/24/2011	8	2	10	UFC 135: Jones vs. Rampage
09/17/2011	9	3	12	UFC Fight Night 25
08/27/2011	9	3	12	UFC 134: Silva vs. Okami
08/14/2011	6	6	12	UFC on Versus 5
08/06/2011	9	2	11	UFC 133: Evans vs. Ortiz 2
07/02/2011	5	6	11	UFC 132: Cruz vs. Faber
06/26/2011	6	4	10	UFC on Versus 4
06/11/2011	10	2	12	UFC 131: Dos Santos vs. Carwin
06/04/2011	7	4	11	UFC - TUF 13 Finale
05/28/2011	7	3	10	UFC 130: Rampage vs. Hamill
04/30/2011	9	3	12	UFC 129: St-Pierre vs. Shields
03/26/2011	11	1	12	UFC Fight Night 24
03/19/2011	11	1	12	UFC 128: Shogun vs. Jones
03/03/2011	8	3	11	UFC on Versus 3
02/26/2011	5	6	11	UFC 127: Penn vs. Fitch
02/05/2011	8	3	11	UFC 126: Silva vs. Belfort
01/22/2011	7	4	11	UFC Fight Night 23
01/01/2011	5	4	9	UFC 125: Resolution
12/11/2010	6	4	10	UFC 124: St. Pierre vs. Koscheck 2
12/04/2010	7	4	11	UFC - TUF 12 Finale
11/20/2010	7	4	11	UFC 123: Rampage vs. Machida
11/13/2010	4	5	10	UFC 122: Marquardt vs. Okami
10/23/2010	7	4	11	UFC 121: Lesnar vs. Velasquez
10/16/2010	6	3	9	UFC 120: Bisping vs. Akiyama
09/25/2010	9	2	11	UFC 119: Mir vs. Cro Cop
09/15/2010	3	7	10	UFC Fight Night 22
08/28/2010	6	4	10	UFC 118: Edgar vs. Penn 2
08/07/2010	6	5	11	UFC 117: Silva vs. Sonnen
08/01/2010	7	3	10	UFC on Versus 2
07/03/2010	7	4	11	UFC 116: Lesnar vs. Carwin
06/19/2010	8	2	10	UFC - TUF 11 Finale
06/12/2010	5	6	11	UFC 115: Liddell vs. Franklin
05/29/2010	6	5	11	UFC 114: Jackson vs. Evans
05/08/2010	5	6	11	UFC 113: Machida vs. Shogun 2
04/10/2010	6	4	10	UFC 112: Invincible
03/31/2010	8	3	11	UFC Fight Night 21
03/27/2010	8	2	10	UFC 111: St. Pierre vs. Hardy
03/21/2010	10	1	11	UFC on Versus 1
02/21/2010	6	3	9	UFC 110: Nogueira vs. Velasquez
02/06/2010	7	4	11	UFC 109: Relentless
01/11/2010	9	1	10	UFC Fight Night 20
01/02/2010	8	2	10	UFC 108: Evans vs. Silva
12/12/2009	10	1	11	UFC 107: Penn vs. Sanchez
12/05/2009	4	5	10	UFC - TUF 10 Finale
11/21/2009	4	4	9	UFC 106: Ortiz vs. Griffin 2
11/14/2009	4	7	11	UFC 105: Couture vs. Vera
10/24/2009	7	4	11	UFC 104: Machida vs. Shogun
09/19/2009	9	4	13	UFC 103: Franklin vs. Belfort
09/16/2009	8	2	10	UFC Fight Night 19
08/29/2009	7	4	11	UFC 102: Couture vs. Nogueira
08/08/2009	7	4	11	UFC 101: Declaration
07/11/2009	9	2	11	UFC 100
06/20/2009	5	5	10	UFC - TUF 9 Finale
06/13/2009	11	1	12	UFC 99: The Comeback
05/23/2009	5	6	11	UFC 98: Evans vs. Machida
04/18/2009	6	6	12	UFC 97: Redemption
04/01/2009	10	1	11	UFC Fight Night 18
03/07/2009	6	4	10	UFC 96: Jackson vs. Jardine
02/21/2009	6	4	10	UFC 95: Sanchez vs. Stevenson
02/07/2009	8	2	10	UFC Fight Night 17
01/31/2009	5	4	9	UFC 94: St. Pierre vs. Penn 2
01/17/2009	9	1	10	UFC 93: Franklin vs. Henderson
12/27/2008	7	3	10	UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008
12/13/2008	4	6	10	UFC - TUF 8 Finale
12/10/2008	7	3	10	UFC Fight Night 16
11/15/2008	9	0	9	UFC 91: Couture vs. Lesnar
10/25/2008	7	3	10	UFC 90: Silva vs. Cote
10/18/2008	7	4	11	UFC 89: Bisping vs. Leben
09/17/2008	6	4	10	UFC Fight Night 15
09/06/2008	6	3	9	UFC 88: Breakthrough
08/09/2008	7	3	10	UFC 87: Seek And Destroy
07/19/2008	10	1	11	UFC Fight Night 14
07/05/2008	6	3	9	UFC 86: Jackson vs. Griffin
06/21/2008	5	4	10	UFC - TUF 7 Finale
06/07/2008	5	6	11	UFC 85: Bedlam
05/24/2008	9	2	11	UFC 84: Ill Will
04/19/2008	8	3	11	UFC 83: Serra vs. St-Pierre 2
04/02/2008	7	5	12	UFC Fight Night 13
03/01/2008	8	2	10	UFC 82: Pride of a Champion
02/02/2008	4	4	8	UFC 81: Breaking Point
01/23/2008	8	1	9	UFC Fight Night 12
01/19/2008	6	3	9	UFC 80: Rapid Fire
12/29/2007	5	5	10	UFC 79: Nemesis
12/08/2007	6	3	9	UFC - TUF 6 Finale
11/17/2007	8	1	9	UFC 78: Validation
10/20/2007	5	4	9	UFC 77: Hostile Territory
09/22/2007	6	3	9	UFC 76: Knockout
09/19/2007	7	2	9	UFC Fight Night 11
09/08/2007	7	2	9	UFC 75: Champion vs. Champion
08/25/2007	7	2	9	UFC 74: Respect
07/07/2007	8	0	8	UFC 73: Stacked
06/23/2007	7	1	8	UFC - TUF 5 Finale
06/16/2007	8	0	8	UFC 72: Victory
06/12/2007	6	2	8	UFC Fight Night 10
05/26/2007	1	4	5	UFC 71: Liddell vs. Jackson
04/21/2007	6	4	10	UFC 70: Nations Collide
04/07/2007	6	3	9	UFC 69: Shootout
04/05/2007	5	3	8	UFC Fight Night 9
03/03/2007	3	2	5	UFC 68: The Uprising
02/03/2007	6	3	9	UFC 67: All or Nothing

[Rich Davie]

Date	Favorites (68%)	Underdogs (32%)	Total (100%)	Event Name
12/30/2006	3	2	5	UFC 66: Liddell vs. Ortiz 2
12/13/2006	3	0	3	UFC Fight Night 7
11/18/2006	3	2	5	UFC 65: Bad Intentions
11/11/2006	3	1	4	UFC - TUF 4 Finale
10/14/2006	3	2	5	UFC 64: Unstoppable
10/10/2006	3	1	4	UFC Fight Night - The Final Chapter
09/23/2006	3	1	5	UFC 63: Hughes vs. Penn
08/26/2006	5	0	5	UFC 62: Liddell vs. Sobral
08/17/2006	3	1	4	UFC Fight Night 6
07/08/2006	3	2	5	UFC 61: Bitter Rivals
06/28/2006	2	1	3	UFC Fight Night 5
05/27/2006	3	1	4	UFC 60: Hughes vs. Gracie
04/15/2006	3	1	4	UFC 59: Reality Check
04/06/2006	3	1	4	UFC Fight Night 4
03/04/2006	1	1	2	UFC 58: USA vs. Canada
02/04/2006	4	2	6	UFC 57: Liddell vs. Couture 3
01/16/2006	2	2	4	UFC Fight Night 3
11/19/2005	6	2	8	UFC 56: Full Force

Showing 1 to 132 of 132 entries

This data is cobbled together from multiple sources, and the older data is particularly spotty (so user beware).

http://www.breakdownfights.com/?page_id=2549

[Kickass32]

This is a pretty cool chart.

[Rich Davie]

I love this guy's site... it would be great if we could partner up with him.

[AaronP95]

the underdogs smashed fight night 22!

[BluenoseGreig]

I love this guy's site... it would be great if we could partner up with him.

I agree, some of these stats are really interesting, would add a little for info etc on the build up to an event for the PC and bookie too.

[Dirty Daley]

Good Stuuf. I love statistics like this!

[Dirty Daley]

Just goes to show. No harm in backing the underdog now and again. I reckon most of these were from the undercard. I won ALOT OF MONEY ON NEW GUYS ENTERING THE UFC. Not many people , including bookmakers , give new guys a chance. I always win more on the undrcard than the main card.