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Thread: Crypt Bookie: TUF 15, who wins it all?

  1. #21
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    Updated the odds after last night's fight.
    Even when I'm 100% certain of a fight outcome, I'm only 75% sure... and of that, there's only a 50/50 shot that I'm right.

    Too many people prefer the blue pill... me, I prefer the red pill.

    The problem confronting the world today is that the world is full of ideologues who are more concerned with promoting their ideology than dealing in the facts.

    An uneducated populous will fall for anything - Dr. Benjamin Carson

    Stick with me... and you'll be wearing horse turds as big as diamonds !

    Welcome to MMA Crypt Be sure to check out our RULES !

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  2. #22
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    Updated the odds again from the fight last week on TUF.
    Even when I'm 100% certain of a fight outcome, I'm only 75% sure... and of that, there's only a 50/50 shot that I'm right.

    Too many people prefer the blue pill... me, I prefer the red pill.

    The problem confronting the world today is that the world is full of ideologues who are more concerned with promoting their ideology than dealing in the facts.

    An uneducated populous will fall for anything - Dr. Benjamin Carson

    Stick with me... and you'll be wearing horse turds as big as diamonds !

    Welcome to MMA Crypt Be sure to check out our RULES !

    Check out 'The MMA Crypt Live Chat Hour' - Season 1 : Episode 5 - Click Here.

    Check out 'The MMA Crypt Live Chat Hour' - Show History and Links - Click Here.

  3. #23
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    Updated the odds after last night's fight.
    Even when I'm 100% certain of a fight outcome, I'm only 75% sure... and of that, there's only a 50/50 shot that I'm right.

    Too many people prefer the blue pill... me, I prefer the red pill.

    The problem confronting the world today is that the world is full of ideologues who are more concerned with promoting their ideology than dealing in the facts.

    An uneducated populous will fall for anything - Dr. Benjamin Carson

    Stick with me... and you'll be wearing horse turds as big as diamonds !

    Welcome to MMA Crypt Be sure to check out our RULES !

    Check out 'The MMA Crypt Live Chat Hour' - Season 1 : Episode 5 - Click Here.

    Check out 'The MMA Crypt Live Chat Hour' - Show History and Links - Click Here.

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    Misfit (05-05-2012)

  5. #24
    Crypt Administrator Misfit's Avatar
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    Hey Rich, once we get past the next round, or maybe we have already, I can't watch this up here. Change the odds again. Right now, I have them setup with 8 fighters left, so each guy is 7:1 When the 8 left start to fight, the guy that moves on is now 3:1 since their will be 4 guys left.

    And thanks for keeping up on this.

  6. #25
    Crypter TattFlash's Avatar
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    Glad to see Ogle doing it for the Geordie nation
    I felt sorry for Mu_Shin finishing in last place 2 events in a row, so I decided to join him.... honestly ! It's not that I suck too... oh wait I do suck at predicting fights !
    (losing signature expires on 5-27-13 or until the next Fantasy Challenge is over)

  7. #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by Misfit View Post
    Hey Rich, once we get past the next round, or maybe we have already, I can't watch this up here. Change the odds again. Right now, I have them setup with 8 fighters left, so each guy is 7:1 When the 8 left start to fight, the guy that moves on is now 3:1 since their will be 4 guys left.

    And thanks for keeping up on this.
    No problem... next week will begin the next round of eliminations.

    OK... so next week winners will be 3:1, and how about the losers... the same 20:1 odds as the first round, or somewhere in between the 20:1 and 7:1 odds ?
    Even when I'm 100% certain of a fight outcome, I'm only 75% sure... and of that, there's only a 50/50 shot that I'm right.

    Too many people prefer the blue pill... me, I prefer the red pill.

    The problem confronting the world today is that the world is full of ideologues who are more concerned with promoting their ideology than dealing in the facts.

    An uneducated populous will fall for anything - Dr. Benjamin Carson

    Stick with me... and you'll be wearing horse turds as big as diamonds !

    Welcome to MMA Crypt Be sure to check out our RULES !

    Check out 'The MMA Crypt Live Chat Hour' - Season 1 : Episode 5 - Click Here.

    Check out 'The MMA Crypt Live Chat Hour' - Show History and Links - Click Here.

  8. #27
    Crypt Administrator Misfit's Avatar
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    I would leave the losers of the next round at the same 7:1. It will make it easier not having to change more than needed.

  9. #28
    AaronP "The Submission Machine" AaronP95's Avatar
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    I'm a bit confused, are these odds based on their chance of winning the entire show or winning their personal bout in the finale?

  10. #29
    Crypt Administrator Misfit's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by AaronP95 View Post
    I'm a bit confused, are these odds based on their chance of winning the entire show or winning their personal bout in the finale?
    The final show, we had all the fighters starting a 20-1 to win the contract, the odds change as the winner moves on. So, there will be only 1 winner at the end of it all if that helps clear it up Aaron.

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  12. #30
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    Quote Originally Posted by Misfit View Post
    I would leave the losers of the next round at the same 7:1. It will make it easier not having to change more than needed.
    The way I was looking at things, was...

    We still don't know if there's gonna be the need for a "wildcard" replacement yet... if one of the guys who have been eliminated is fortunate enough to come back as the wildcard replacement, shouldn't the guys who survived into the second round of fights have lower odds if they're fortunate enough to come back, over one of the guys that got eliminated in the first round of fights if he's fortunate to come back.

    I suck with figuring out the actual odds numbers, but I have no problem adjusting the odds as needed... just a thought.
    Even when I'm 100% certain of a fight outcome, I'm only 75% sure... and of that, there's only a 50/50 shot that I'm right.

    Too many people prefer the blue pill... me, I prefer the red pill.

    The problem confronting the world today is that the world is full of ideologues who are more concerned with promoting their ideology than dealing in the facts.

    An uneducated populous will fall for anything - Dr. Benjamin Carson

    Stick with me... and you'll be wearing horse turds as big as diamonds !

    Welcome to MMA Crypt Be sure to check out our RULES !

    Check out 'The MMA Crypt Live Chat Hour' - Season 1 : Episode 5 - Click Here.

    Check out 'The MMA Crypt Live Chat Hour' - Show History and Links - Click Here.

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