UFC on FX 3 Predictions- Kamikaze Overdrive MMA

[scottiej86]

Lance Benoist 1.87 vs Seth
Baczynski 1.87

Nothing like a pick’em fight to get the old blood boiling. One thing that I
have come to notice over several years of betting on MMA is that when the odds
are even like this, often one of the fighters will have a dominant performance.
I’m backing Baczynski here at $1.87 because Benoit is a relatively new fighter
to the UFC with one fight against a far from elite level opponent in Matt
Riddle, while Baczynski has been in the cage with some pretty decent talent
including his submission win over the season and durable Matt Brown. It is
difficult to back any fighter making his debut, and even though Benoist is not
he is only one fight removed and in my opinion making a significant step up in
competition. Additionally, Baczynski’s size posses a distinct obstacle for any
fighter at Welterweight, let alone someone who has most likely never dealt with
such physical disparities in previous fights. If Benoist pulls off the win then
this is a nice stepping stone for his young career, but I feel there are too
many indications that the bigger more and experience fighter leaves the cage
with the ‘W’. I like Baczyski as part of a central parlay or as a single bet and
don’t be afraid to shop around as I have seen sites that have him ranked as the
dog paying just shy of $2.00.

Eddie Wineland 2.80 vs Scott
Jorgensen 1.42

I already mentioned above that Wineland is not my favorite prediction of the
event. He did a nice job against both Faber and Benavidez who are the elite of
the division. He was able to defend against their wrestling based attacks but
wasn’t able to do enough to put him over the top with his striking. Jorgensen’s
striking is far from terrible but he struggled against Jeff Curran and Ken Stone
standing and was forced to resort to his takedowns as a result. Based on those
fights and Jorgensen’s struggle with opponents that he wasn’t able to LnP for 3
rounds (See Cruz and Barao) I certainly see potential for the upset and with
Wineland at $2.80 there is value here. That being said if Jorgensen lands a
takedown early and does it with some regularity all of Wineland’s value is going
out the window in a hurry. I would suggest…

[Dirty Daley]

rocha has some crazy odds on pierce. i think people should lay some cash down on that. massive TIP!!

[Dirty Daley]

rocha has some crazy odds on pierce. i think people should lay some cash down on that. massive TIP!! 7/4 odd's

garcia is 4/6 odd's aswell which is pretty decent.